The Numbers
Of 93 precincts in the marz, all reported. Civil Contract 60.7%, Strong Armenia 21.2%, Hayastan 7.3%, Bargavach Hayastan 4%, Unity Wings 1%, Demokratia Orenq Kargapahutyun 0.9%, DOK 0.9%, Bolorin Dem Em 0.8%, Shnorhapetakan 0.8%, Hanrapetutyun 0.5%, New Force 0.5%, Hanun Hanrapetutyan 0.5%, Luminous Armenia 0.3%, Zhoghovrdavarakan Hamakhmbum 0.2%, National Democratic Pole 0.2%, Reformists 0.1%, ANC 0.1%, Kochari NV 0.1%, Christian Democrats 0.1%. Invalid ballots 0.6%.
Civil Contract's 60.7 percent in Shirak is materially higher than its 54.8 percent at the 404-precinct republic-wide cut. This is the rural-skew effect in action: Shirak's marz centre Gyumri is itself politically contested (the mayor Vardan Ghukasyan was charged with preparation to usurp power earlier in the closing week), but the marz overall favours Civil Contract by margins not visible in the urban-Yerevan precincts.
The Turnout Gap Is the Story
Shirak's marz-wide reported turnout of 26.04 percent is roughly half the republic-wide 17:00-Yerevan turnout of 48.92 percent. Two readings are available. The benign reading: Shirak's diaspora rate -- the share of registered Shirak voters who actually reside elsewhere (Russia, Yerevan, abroad) -- is among the highest in the country, and the 26 percent figure reflects long-standing under-participation, not closing-week effects. The other reading: the Gyumri raids on Hayastan and Strong Armenia supporters that we have documented through the closing week and election day produced a chilling effect on opposition-affiliated voters who did not show up to be intimidated at the polling station.
The two readings are not mutually exclusive. What the Shirak number tells us empirically: if turnout had matched the republic average, Strong Armenia would have likely received a larger absolute vote share even at a similar percentage, and the marz's contribution to the national thresholds for Bargavach Hayastan and Unity Wings would have been materially different. The under-participation of opposition voters in Shirak -- however caused -- compresses the opposition share nationally.
Sources: Armtimes.com, 7 June 2026 20:14 UTC (Shirak marz full breakdown) · OWL live blog